Causal Inference from Time Series: Methods for Discovering, Explaining, and Estimating Causal Relationships (2025)
Online Machine Learning for Inference from Multivariate Time-series
Inference and data analysis over networks have become significant areas of research due to the increasing prevalence of interconnected systems and the growing volume of data they produce. Many of these systems generate data in the form of multivariate time series, which are collections of time series data that are observed simultaneously across multiple variables. For example, EEG measurements of the brain produce multivariate time series data that record the electrical activity of different brain regions over time. Cyber-physical systems generate multivariate time series that capture the behaviour of physical systems in response to cybernetic inputs. Similarly, financial time series reflect the dynamics of multiple financial instruments or market indices over time. Through the analysis of these time series, one can uncover important details about the behavior of the system, detect patterns, and make predictions. Therefore, designing effective methods for ...
Rohan Money — University of Agder, Norway
Cognitive Models for Acoustic and Audiovisual Sound Source Localization
Sound source localization algorithms have a long research history in the field of digital signal processing. Many common applications like intelligent personal assistants, teleconferencing systems and methods for technical diagnosis in acoustics require an accurate localization of sound sources in the environment. However, dynamic environments entail a particular challenge for these systems. For instance, voice controlled smart home applications, where the speaker, as well as potential noise sources, are moving within the room, are a typical example of dynamic environments. Classical sound source localization systems only have limited capabilities to deal with dynamic acoustic scenarios. In this thesis, three novel approaches to sound source localization that extend existing classical methods will be presented. The first system is proposed in the context of audiovisual source localization. Determining the position of sound sources in adverse acoustic conditions can be improved by including ...
Schymura, Christopher — Ruhr University Bochum
Advanced time-domain methods for nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy data analysis
Over the past years magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) has been of significant importance both as a fundamental research technique in different fields, as well as a diagnostic tool in medical environments. With MRS, for example, spectroscopic information, such as the concentrations of chemical substances, can be determined non-invasively. To that end, the signals are first modeled by an appropriate model function and mathematical techniques are subsequently applied to determine the model parameters. In this thesis, signal processing algorithms are developed to quantify in-vivo and ex-vivo MRS signals. These are usually characterized by a poor signal-to-noise ratio, overlapping peaks, deviations from the model function and in some cases the presence of disturbing components (e.g. the residual water in proton spectra). The work presented in this thesis addresses a part of the total effort to provide accurate, efficient and automatic data analysis ...
Vanhamme, Leentje — Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
Contrastive Reasoning in Neural Networks
The objective of the dissertation is to rethink the inductive nature of reasoning in neural networks by providing contextual explanations to a network’s decision and addressing the network's robustness capabilities. Neural networks represent data as projections on trained weights in a high dimensional manifold. The trained weights act as a knowledge base consisting of causal class dependencies. Inference built on features that identify dependencies within this manifold is termed as inductive feed-forward inference. This is a classical cause-to-effect inference model that is widely used because of its simple mathematical functionality and ease of operation. Nevertheless, feed-forward models do not generalize well to untrained situations. To alleviate this generalization challenge, we use an effect-to-cause inference model that falls under the abductive reasoning framework. Here, the features represent the change from existing weight dependencies given a certain effect. In this dissertation, we ...
Prabhushankar, Mohit — Georgia Institute of Technology
Reconstruction and clustering with graph optimization and priors on gene networks and images
The discovery of novel gene regulatory processes improves the understanding of cell phenotypic responses to external stimuli for many biological applications, such as medicine, environment or biotechnologies. To this purpose, transcriptomic data are generated and analyzed from DNA microarrays or more recently RNAseq experiments. They consist in genetic expression level sequences obtained for all genes of a studied organism placed in different living conditions. From these data, gene regulation mechanisms can be recovered by revealing topological links encoded in graphs. In regulatory graphs, nodes correspond to genes. A link between two nodes is identified if a regulation relationship exists between the two corresponding genes. Such networks are called Gene Regulatory Networks (GRNs). Their construction as well as their analysis remain challenging despite the large number of available inference methods. In this thesis, we propose to address this network inference problem ...
Pirayre, Aurélie — IFP Energies nouvelles
Mining the ECG: Algorithms and Applications
This research focuses on the development of algorithms to extract diagnostic information from the ECG signal, which can be used to improve automatic detection systems and home monitoring solutions. In the first part of this work, a generically applicable algorithm for model selection in kernel principal component analysis is presented, which was inspired by the derivation of respiratory information from the ECG signal. This method not only solves a problem in biomedical signal processing, but more importantly offers a solution to a long-standing problem in the field of machine learning. Next, a methodology to quantify the level of contamination in a segment of ECG is proposed. This level is used to detect artifacts, and to improve the performance of different classifiers, by removing these artifacts from the training set. Furthermore, an evaluation of three different methodologies to compute the ECG-derived ...
Varon, Carolina — KU Leuven
This dissertation develops false discovery rate (FDR) controlling machine learning algorithms for large-scale high-dimensional data. Ensuring the reproducibility of discoveries based on high-dimensional data is pivotal in numerous applications. The developed algorithms perform fast variable selection tasks in large-scale high-dimensional settings where the number of variables may be much larger than the number of samples. This includes large-scale data with up to millions of variables such as genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Theoretical finite sample FDR-control guarantees based on martingale theory have been established proving the trustworthiness of the developed methods. The practical open-source R software packages TRexSelector and tlars, which implement the proposed algorithms, have been published on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN). Extensive numerical experiments and real-world problems in biomedical and financial engineering demonstrate the performance in challenging use-cases. The first three main parts of this dissertation present ...
Machkour, Jasin — Technische Universität Darmstadt
Modeling of Magnetic Fields and Extended Objects for Localization Applications
The level of automation in our society is ever increasing. Technologies like self-driving cars, virtual reality, and fully autonomous robots, which all were unimaginable a few decades ago, are realizable today, and will become standard consumer products in the future. These technologies depend upon autonomous localization and situation awareness where careful processing of sensory data is required. To increase efficiency, robustness and reliability, appropriate models for these data are needed. In this thesis, such models are analyzed within three different application areas, namely (1) magnetic localization, (2) extended target tracking, and (3) autonomous learning from raw pixel information. Magnetic localization is based on one or more magnetometers measuring the induced magnetic field from magnetic objects. In this thesis we present a model for determining the position and the orientation of small magnets with an accuracy of a few millimeters. This ...
Wahlström, Niklas — Linköping University
Advanced solutions for neonatal analysis and the effects of maturation
Worldwide approximately 11% of the babies are born before 37 weeks of gestation. The survival rates of these prematurely born infants have steadily increased during the last decades as a result of the technical and medical progress in the neonatal intensive care units (NICUs). The focus of the NICUs has therefore gradually evolved from increasing life chances to improving quality of life. In this respect, promoting and supporting optimal brain development is crucial. Because these neonates are born during a period of rapid growth and development of the brain, they are susceptible to brain damage and therefore vulnerable to adverse neurodevelopmental outcome. In order to identify patients at risk of long-term disabilities, close monitoring of the neurological function during the first critical weeks is a primary concern in the current NICUs. Electroencephalography (EEG) is a valuable tool for continuous noninvasive ...
De Wel, Ofelie — KU Leuven
Accelerating Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian inference in dynamical models
Making decisions and predictions from noisy observations are two important and challenging problems in many areas of society. Some examples of applications are recommendation systems for online shopping and streaming services, connecting genes with certain diseases and modelling climate change. In this thesis, we make use of Bayesian statistics to construct probabilistic models given prior information and historical data, which can be used for decision support and predictions. The main obstacle with this approach is that it often results in mathematical problems lacking analytical solutions. To cope with this, we make use of statistical simulation algorithms known as Monte Carlo methods to approximate the intractable solution. These methods enjoy well-understood statistical properties but are often computational prohibitive to employ. The main contribution of this thesis is the exploration of different strategies for accelerating inference methods based on sequential Monte Carlo ...
Dahlin, Johan — Linköping University
Extraction of efficient and characteristic features of multidimensional time series
In numerous signal processing applications one disposes of multiple probes, delivering simultaneously information about one or multiple observed processes. The resulting multidimensional time series are often highly redundant and may contain stochastic contributions. The perception of the useful information becomes therefore very difficult and sometimes impossible. Thus, the major issue of concern of this thesis resides in the development of novel algorithms for the extraction of the salient and characteristic features of multidimensional time series. The proposed algorithms are based on parametric signal processing, namely we assume that the features of the experimental data can be represented efficiently by a specific model. We present a global framework for the selection of a specific model out of the large span of techniques proposed in the literature. For the selection of the model classes we use, in addition to prior knowledge about ...
Vetter, Rolf — Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
Compressive Sensing of Cyclostationary Propeller Noise
This dissertation is the combination of three manuscripts –either published in or submitted to journals– on compressive sensing of propeller noise for detection, identification and localization of water crafts. Propeller noise, as a result of rotating blades, is broadband and radiates through water dominating underwater acoustic noise spectrum especially when cavitation develops. Propeller cavitation yields cyclostationary noise which can be modeled by amplitude modulation, i.e., the envelope-carrier product. The envelope consists of the so-called propeller tonals representing propeller characteristics which is used to identify water crafts whereas the carrier is a stationary broadband process. Sampling for propeller noise processing yields large data sizes due to Nyquist rate and multiple sensor deployment. A compressive sensing scheme is proposed for efficient sampling of second-order cyclostationary propeller noise since the spectral correlation function of the amplitude modulation model is sparse as shown in ...
Fırat, Umut — Istanbul Technical University
Multimodal signal analysis for unobtrusive characterization of obstructive sleep apnea
Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is the most prevalent sleep related breathing disorder, nevertheless subjects suffering from it often remain undiagnosed due to the cumbersome diagnosis procedure. Moreover, the prevalence of OSA is increasing and a better phenotyping of patients is needed in order to prioritize treatment. The goal of this thesis was to tackle those challenges in OSA diagnosis. Additionally, two main algorithmic contributions which are generally applicable were proposed within this thesis. The binary interval coded scoring algorithm was extended to multilevel problems and novel monotonicity constraints were introduced. Moreover, improvements to the random-forest based feature selection were proposed including the use of the Cohen’s kappa value, patient independent validation, and further feature pruning steered by the correlation between features. These novel methods were applied together with classification and feature selection methods from the literature to improve the OSA ...
Deviaene, Margot — KU Leuven
Dialogue Enhancement and Personalization - Contributions to Quality Assessment and Control
The production and delivery of audio for television involve many creative and technical challenges. One of them is concerned with the level balance between the foreground speech (also referred to as dialogue) and the background elements, e.g., music, sound effects, and ambient sounds. Background elements are fundamental for the narrative and for creating an engaging atmosphere, but they can mask the dialogue, which the audience wishes to follow in a comfortable way. Very different individual factors of the people in the audience clash with the creative freedom of the content creators. As a result, service providers receive regular complaints about difficulties in understanding the dialogue because of too loud background sounds. While this has been a known issue for at least three decades, works analyzing the problem and up-to-date statics were scarce before the contributions in this work. Enabling the ...
Torcoli, Matteo — Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU)
Respiratory sinus arrhythmia estimation : closing the gap between research and applications
The respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA) is a form of cardiorespiratory coupling in which the heart rate accelerates during inhalation and decelerates during exhalation. Its quantification has been suggested as a tool to assess different diseases and conditions. However, whilst the potential of the RSA estimation as a diagnostic tool is shown in research works, its use in clinical practice and mobile applications is rather limited. This can be attributed to the lack of understanding of the mechanisms generating the RSA. To try to explain the RSA, studies are done using noninvasive signals, namely, respiration and heart rate variability (HRV), which are combined using different algorithms. Nevertheless, the algorithms are not standardized, making it difficult to draw solid conclusions from these studies. Therefore, the first aim of this thesis was to develop a framework to evaluate algorithms for RSA estimation. To ...
Morales, John — KU Leuven
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